WTI/USD

Entry

76.62

Stop

77.58

TP1

75.66

Win estimate

43%

Risk

HIGH

Sample

7

• MTF trend98 · weight 38%

  EMA 20/50/200 ensemble on 15M and confirmed higher timeframe

• Structure & liquidity56 · weight 18%

  FVG · order-block retest

• Momentum67 · weight 16%

  RSI 32.6, ADX 61.7, directional momentum confirmed

• VWAP & location100 · weight 10%

  VWAP context, 1.66 ATR from EMA20

• Regime quality100 · weight 14%

  Volatility 1.53x baseline · liquid session

• Volume37 · weight 4%

  Volume 0.20x recent median

Entry

76.62

Stop

78.53

TP1

74.71

Win estimate

47%

Risk

HIGH

Sample

17

• MTF trend85 · weight 38%

  EMA 20/50/200 ensemble on 1H and confirmed higher timeframe

• Structure & liquidity50 · weight 18%

  FVG · order-block retest

• Momentum86 · weight 16%

  RSI 35.3, ADX 28.6, directional momentum confirmed

• VWAP & location100 · weight 10%

  VWAP context, 2.16 ATR from EMA20

• Regime quality86 · weight 14%

  Volatility 1.40x baseline · liquid session

• Volume100 · weight 4%

  Volume 4.41x recent median

Entry

76.62

Stop

80.70

TP1

72.54

Win estimate

59%

Risk

MEDIUM

Sample

22

• MTF trend82 · weight 38%

  EMA 20/50/200 ensemble on 4H and confirmed higher timeframe

• Structure & liquidity76 · weight 18%

  BOS · FVG · order-block retest

• Momentum100 · weight 16%

  RSI 36.2, ADX 14.3, directional momentum confirmed

• VWAP & location100 · weight 10%

  VWAP context, 1.67 ATR from EMA20

• Regime quality60 · weight 14%

  Volatility 1.36x baseline · liquid session

• Volume91 · weight 4%

  Volume 3.55x recent median

Scored below the confluence threshold on this timeframe. No trade.